Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001456 0.001545 0.001637 0.001739 0.001849 0.001964 0.002094
2025-02-16 0.001361 0.001492 0.001632 0.001794 0.001976 0.002176 0.002412
2025-02-23 0.001259 0.001413 0.001583 0.001786 0.002023 0.002291 0.002620
2025-03-02 0.001158 0.001324 0.001512 0.001741 0.002016 0.002336 0.002741
2025-03-09 0.001082 0.001257 0.001459 0.001711 0.002019 0.002388 0.002866
2025-03-16 0.001033 0.001217 0.001433 0.001708 0.002052 0.002473 0.003033
2025-03-23 0.000982 0.001171 0.001397 0.001690 0.002063 0.002528 0.003162
2025-03-30 0.000942 0.001137 0.001373 0.001683 0.002085 0.002598 0.003311
2025-04-06 0.000899 0.001096 0.001338 0.001660 0.002084 0.002634 0.003415
2025-04-13 0.000859 0.001056 0.001301 0.001633 0.002076 0.002660 0.003505
2025-04-20 0.000809 0.001002 0.001245 0.001577 0.002027 0.002626 0.003508
2025-04-27 0.000792 0.000991 0.001243 0.001592 0.002071 0.002722 0.003698
2025-05-04 0.000773 0.000977 0.001239 0.001608 0.002124 0.002838 0.003933
2025-05-11 0.000770 0.000984 0.001264 0.001664 0.002235 0.003043 0.004313
2025-05-18 0.000744 0.000960 0.001246 0.001659 0.002259 0.003122 0.004509
2025-05-25 0.000708 0.000920 0.001204 0.001619 0.002228 0.003119 0.004576
2025-06-01 0.000679 0.000889 0.001172 0.001591 0.002215 0.003140 0.004682
2025-06-08 0.000660 0.000871 0.001158 0.001588 0.002237 0.003216 0.004880
2025-06-15 0.000637 0.000847 0.001135 0.001572 0.002238 0.003259 0.005024
2025-06-22 0.000620 0.000830 0.001120 0.001566 0.002254 0.003325 0.005211
2025-06-29 0.000598 0.000806 0.001096 0.001544 0.002246 0.003350 0.005328
2025-07-06 0.000577 0.000782 0.001070 0.001520 0.002231 0.003364 0.005426
2025-07-13 0.000550 0.000748 0.001028 0.001469 0.002171 0.003301 0.005383